Mortgage Rate Forecast: October 2008

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 30, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 29, 2008

Update:

The Fed cuts the federal funds rate - the overnight rate at which banks loan to one another - to 1.0% as expected. The Fed also lowered the discount rate a half point to 1.25%. The discount rate is the interest rate charged to commercial banks and other depository institutions on loans they receive from their regional Federal Reserve Bank's lending facility - the discount window.

The Fed is still concerned about the economy, and is expecting further weakness. This led to speculation that the Fed may lower short-term rates again in the future despite the fact that the Federal Funds rate is now at a record low of 1.00%. The last time the fed funds rates was this low was between June 2003 and June 2004.

The following is the full text of the statement released today by the Federal Reserve in Washington:

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to lower its target for the federal funds rate 50 basis points to 1 percent.

The pace of economic activity appears to have slowed markedly, owing importantly to a decline in consumer expenditures. Business equipment spending and industrial production have weakened in recent months, and slowing economic activity in many foreign economies is damping the prospects for U.S. exports. Moreover, the intensification of financial market turmoil is likely to exert additional restraint on spending, partly by further reducing the ability of households and businesses to obtain credit.

In light of the declines in the prices of energy and other commodities and the weaker prospects for economic activity, the Committee expects inflation to moderate in coming quarters to levels consistent with price stability.

Recent policy actions, including today's rate reduction, coordinated interest rate cuts by central banks, extraordinary liquidity measures, and official steps to strengthen financial systems, should helpver time to improve credit conditions and promote a return to moderate economic growth. Nevertheless, downside risks to growth remain. The Committee will monitor economic and financial developments carefully and will act as needed to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Sandra Pianalto; Charles I. Plosser; Gary H. Stern; and Kevin M. Warsh.

In a related action, the Board of Governors unanimously approved a 50-basis-point decrease in the discount rate to 1-1/4 percent. In taking this action, the Board approved the requests submitted by the Boards of Directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, New York, Cleveland, and San Francisco.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 29, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 28, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 27, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 24, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 23, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 22, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

Overall, I am expecting to see a fairly quiet week for mortgage rates, assuming the stock markets are not wild again. However, just because it is a light week in terms of economic news, we should not let our guard down as the markets can implode or rally at anytime these days.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 21, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

Overall, I am expecting to see a fairly quiet week for mortgage rates, assuming the stock markets are not wild again. The most important day will likely turn out to be today. However, just because it is a light week in terms of economic news, we should not let our guard down as the markets can implode or rally at anytime these days.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.

The Daily Mortgage Interest Rate Lock Advisory - October 20, 2008

My Lock Advice for Today:

Overall, I am expecting to see a fairly quiet week for mortgage rates, assuming the stock markets are not wild again. The most important day will likely turn out to be today. However, just because it is a light week in terms of economic news, we should not let our guard down as the markets can implode or rally at anytime these days.

If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would...

  • Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place within 8 and 20 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days
  • Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now

This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.

Interest rates are based on numerous economic, financial and credit based factors that adjust daily. In addition, lenders can vary on qualification criteria from program to program. If you like the rate today, the safe bet is to lock. Even if rates improve, they wouldn't improve enough in the short term to make you cry about it. But if you are an ardent market bear, and accept the risk of negative mortgage headlines, and believe the economy will just get more bad news next week, and you have the money to risk, you may benefit from floating. Just remember, it always seems more painful to have not locked when you should have as opposed to locking and then watching rates get a little better.