Trend and Forecast in Mortgage Rates on July 21, 2010 - Improving, or...?
Here are some of the events affecting mortgage rates today:
What Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Are Doing Today:
- The price of the FNMA 30-Year 4.0% MBS coupon opened at 101.62 this morning - the same as yesterday's close.
- At 9:30 AM, the 4.0% MBS coupon was trading at 101.62 - the same as its its opening.
Remember, on mortgage backed securities (MBSs), as the price goes down, the yield goes up - and so do mortgage rates. I expect that mortgage rates will be about the same in price this morning as compared to yesterday.
Price Trend in Mortgage Backed Securities:
The chart below shows the price trend of the FNMA 30-Year 4.0% coupon over the past 30 days from 6-21-2010 to 7-21-2010:
Economic Reports, News, and Events Affecting Mortgage Rates:
- There are no economic reports scheduled for release today.
Trend in Mortgage Rates:
The chart below shows the trend in mortgage rates over the past 3 years:
Mortgage Rate Lock Advice:
Mortgage rates are at their historic lows - and haven't been this low since the early 1950s. They could possibly go even lower as the global economic crisis continues. However, the stock market is over sold while the bond market is over bought, and rates could begin to head up soon as the markets begin to correct themselves. As such, I would not risk the chance waiting for lower mortgage rates.
If I were financing a home or refinancing a mortgage today, I would:
- Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days
- Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 15 days
- Float if my closing was taking place between 16 and 30 days
- Float if my closing was taking place more than 30 days from now
Be sure to check out today's mortgage rates.
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Lew Corcoran |
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Lew, great info. Thank you. What do you think will happen to mortgage rates if Fannie & Freddie are ever unwound?
Thanks for the info Lew.
Lew I have to say that I like seeing your comment that rates should stay low....It will bring the buyers out to the market!
Mike - if Fannie and Freddie were ever shut down, mortgage rates would rise. By how much, no one really knows, but estimates are 2% - 3%. Fannie and Freddie are the largest purchasers of mortgage backed securities (MBSs) to sell on the secondary market, and without them, there would not be as much of an outlet for MBSs.
Jennifer - it's great rates are this low. But the only thing that will bring buyers into the market now are jobs, jobs, and more jobs.